That's the feeling I've been having about all the polls that show Obama leading Romney. Granted, the lead isn't much, but the psychological impact is there, as intended. The main reason I'm suspicious of these polls is that they're done by major news outlets, all of whom have displayed a lack of willingness to attempt to investigate anything that this administration does that would be front page news if, say, a Republican was in the White House.
I'm not alone in this feeling that perhaps the country is being misled. Dick Morris feels the same way and says as much in this post over at his place, The Real Poll Numbers.
The media is trying to create a sense of momentum and of inevitability about the Obama candidacy. One benighted Newsweek reporter even speculated about a possible Democratic landslide.
On Friday, I saw the real numbers. These state-by-state polls, taken by an organization I trust (after forty years of polling) show the real story. The tally is based on more than 600 likely voter interviews in each swing state within the past eight days.
The trend line is distinctly pro-Romney. Of the thirteen states studied, he improved or Obama slipped in nine states while the reverse happened in only four. To read the media, one would think that Romney had a terrible month. In fact, the exact reverse is true.
Another reason I'm suspicious of these polls is the polls themselves. Just about every one shows Obama with negatives on his handling of the economy, his policies, his standing in various voting blocs (down with independents and women) and so on. Yet he remains ahead of Romney overall?
I smell bullshit.
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